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Problem-Solving and Data AnalysisHardComparing two estimates with margins of error

Problem-Solving and Data Analysis practice question

Two random samples estimate the proportion of defective parts from two machines. Machine A: 4% ± 1%. Machine B: 6% ± 3%. Which conclusion is most appropriate?

  1. A. Machine A's defect rate is estimated more precisely, and the two intervals overlap, so the data do not establish which machine has the higher rate.Correct
  2. B. Machine B definitely has the higher defect rate.
  3. C. The two machines have exactly the same defect rate.
  4. D. Machine A's sample must have been smaller than Machine B's.

Answer: A. Machine A's defect rate is estimated more precisely, and the two intervals overlap, so the data do not establish which machine has the higher rate.

A's interval is 3%–5%; B's is 3%–9%. They overlap, and A's is narrower.

Why the other answers are wrong

B. Machine B definitely has the higher defect rate.
Overlapping intervals do not settle which rate is higher.
C. The two machines have exactly the same defect rate.
Overlap doesn't prove equality.
D. Machine A's sample must have been smaller than Machine B's.
A smaller margin usually means a LARGER sample.

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