Problem-Solving and Data AnalysisVery hardGeneralising from a survey outside a bicycle shop
Problem-Solving and Data Analysis practice question
To estimate the proportion of a city's residents who cycle to work, a researcher surveys 1,000 people leaving a bicycle shop, and 70 percent say they cycle to work. Which statement about this result is correct?
- A. It cannot be generalised to the city's residents, because people leaving a bicycle shop are more likely to cycle than residents in general, regardless of the sample size.Correct
- B. It can be generalised, because 1,000 is a large sample.
- C. It shows that about 70 percent of the city's residents cycle to work.
- D. It can be generalised if the survey is repeated on another day.
Answer: A. It cannot be generalised to the city's residents, because people leaving a bicycle shop are more likely to cycle than residents in general, regardless of the sample size.
A biased sampling method is not fixed by a large sample.
Why the other answers are wrong
- B. It can be generalised, because 1,000 is a large sample.
- Sample size does not correct a biased selection.
- C. It shows that about 70 percent of the city's residents cycle to work.
- The 70 percent describes bicycle-shop customers.
- D. It can be generalised if the survey is repeated on another day.
- Repeating the same biased method gives the same bias.
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