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Problem-Solving and Data AnalysisMediumConditional probability from group counts

Problem-Solving and Data Analysis practice question

A café recorded the orders of 120 customers one morning: 70 ordered coffee and 50 ordered tea. Of the coffee drinkers, 42 also bought a pastry. If one of the coffee drinkers is selected at random, what is the probability that this customer bought a pastry?

  1. A. 3/5Correct
  2. B. 7/20
  3. C. 7/12
  4. D. 2/5

Answer: A. 3/5

The selection is from the 70 coffee drinkers only. 42 of them bought a pastry: 42/70 = 3/5.

Why the other answers are wrong

B. 7/20
7/20 is 42/120 — dividing by ALL customers. The customer is chosen from the coffee drinkers, so divide by 70.
C. 7/12
7/12 is 70/120, the probability that a random customer ordered coffee. That isn't what was asked.
D. 2/5
2/5 is the probability that a coffee drinker did NOT buy a pastry (28/70).

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