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Problem-Solving and Data AnalysisMediumEstimating a population count from a sample proportion

Problem-Solving and Data Analysis practice question

A wildlife officer catches a random sample of 60 fish from a pond and finds that 18 of them are carp. If the pond holds about 1,200 fish, what is the best estimate of the number of carp in the pond?

Answer: 360

The sample proportion is 18/60 = 0.3, so the estimate is 0.3 × 1,200 = 360.

Common wrong answers

If you answered 18
18 is the number of carp in the SAMPLE.
If you answered 72
72 is 18 × 4, scaling by the wrong factor; the pond is 20 times the sample (1,200 ÷ 60), so 18 × 20 = 360.
If you answered 400
400 uses a third instead of 18/60 = 0.3.

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