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Problem-Solving and Data AnalysisMediumWhat random assignment licenses

Problem-Solving and Data Analysis practice question

Two hundred forty volunteers agreed to take part in a study of study techniques. Each volunteer was randomly assigned to use either technique A or technique B for six weeks, after which all of them took the same test. The group using technique A scored significantly higher on average.

Which conclusion is best supported?

  1. A. For the volunteers in this study, technique A caused the higher average test score.Correct
  2. B. For all students nationally, technique A causes higher test scores.
  3. C. There is an association between technique and score, but no causal conclusion is possible from this design.
  4. D. Technique A and technique B are equally effective.

Answer: A. For the volunteers in this study, technique A caused the higher average test score.

Volunteers were randomly ASSIGNED to the two techniques, which makes the groups comparable at the start, so a significant difference at the end is reasonably attributed to the technique. Because the volunteers were not randomly selected from a wider population, that causal conclusion applies to this group rather than to students generally.

Why the other answers are wrong

B. For all students nationally, technique A causes higher test scores.
Random assignment supports a cause; it does not support generalising beyond the people studied. These were volunteers, not a random sample of students nationally, so the result may not carry over.
C. There is an association between technique and score, but no causal conclusion is possible from this design.
This is the right caution applied to the wrong design. Random assignment is exactly what licenses a causal conclusion — it's the absence of assignment, as in an observational study, that limits you to association.
D. Technique A and technique B are equally effective.
The study found a significant difference between the groups, so concluding they are equally effective contradicts the result.

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