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Problem-Solving and Data AnalysisMediumProbability of two independent events

Problem-Solving and Data Analysis practice question

A fair coin is flipped twice. What is the probability that both flips land heads?

  1. A. 1/4Correct
  2. B. 1/2
  3. C. 1/3
  4. D. 3/4

Answer: A. 1/4

The flips are independent, so multiply: (1/2) × (1/2) = 1/4. Equivalently, of the four equally likely outcomes HH, HT, TH, TT, only one is both heads.

Why the other answers are wrong

B. 1/2
1/2 is the probability of heads on ONE flip. For two heads in a row, the probabilities multiply.
C. 1/3
There are four equally likely outcomes, not three — HT and TH are different outcomes.
D. 3/4
3/4 is the probability of getting at LEAST one tail, the opposite event.

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