Problem-Solving and Data AnalysisMediumRandom selection without random assignment
Problem-Solving and Data Analysis practice question
Researchers selected 1,000 adults at random from a country's population and recorded each adult's diet and blood pressure. Adults who ate fish more often had lower average blood pressure. Which conclusion is best supported?
- A. Among adults in the country, eating fish more often is associated with lower blood pressure.Correct
- B. Eating fish more often causes lower blood pressure in adults in the country.
- C. The association holds only for the 1,000 adults studied and cannot be generalised to the country.
- D. Eating fish has no effect on blood pressure.
Answer: A. Among adults in the country, eating fish more often is associated with lower blood pressure.
Random SELECTION means the result generalises to the country's adults. But nobody was assigned a diet — people chose their own — so the study shows an association, not a cause.
Why the other answers are wrong
- B. Eating fish more often causes lower blood pressure in adults in the country.
- Causation needs random assignment to diets. Here adults chose their own diets, so something else (exercise, income, other foods) could explain the difference.
- C. The association holds only for the 1,000 adults studied and cannot be generalised to the country.
- Because the sample was selected at random from the country's adults, the association DOES generalise to that population.
- D. Eating fish has no effect on blood pressure.
- The study found a clear association; it can't rule fish in as a cause, but it certainly doesn't show 'no effect'.
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